OUR RECORD SPEAKS FOR ITSELF
Our testimonials are different. We provide evidence of our timing in a selection from a 12 year project
Take a look at some of what we accurately forecast for nations, currencies and stock markets
A SELECTION OF SPOT-ON NATIONAL PREDICTIONS
China-20 July 2008
Forecast : Likelihood of disruptive conditions mid 2010 with the people "active"
Outcome: Situation was indeed disruptive mid-2010 as, following suicides at FoxConn, there were widespread strikes
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Japan - 10 August 2008
Forecast : Critical turning point March April 2011 – shown in country, currency and stock market charts – (short term shock)
Outcome: Fukushima – March 11th
Markets returned to normal by end of April
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Italy- 22 December 2008
Forecast : Leadership problems 2010
Outcome : Berlusconi sex scandals etc plus other resignations due to corruption
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India-7 October 2013
Forecast: Change of government June 2014 – possibly by landslide
Outcome: Modi wins June 2014 election with big majority
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Russia: 8 Nov 2013
Forecast :Winter Olympics 2014 would pass uneventfully
Outcome: Olympics were without any significant scares despite widespread concerns
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Iran-8 November 2013
Forecast: Emphasis on changes in women’s rights in 2015 – positive at the beginning of year, some step back in last months
Outcome:“The government considers it its duty to take necessary action for women to enjoy and utilize social opportunities,” Rouhani on April 12, 2015. But crackdown on veils etc November 2015
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Saudi Arabia - 8 Nov 2013
Forecast: Change of leader and shift in culture early 2015
Outcome: Death of king Abdullah bin Abdulaziz January 2015- MBS assumed leadership and started changes
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UK (i)- 25 Jan 2013
Forecast :Change in Summer 2016 will eventually have permanent impact on way country relates to other nations
Outcome: Brexit referendum June 2016.No immediate change – effects later
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UK(ii)-26 January 2017
Forecast: Sept-Dec 2020 ends a 40 year economic environment – everything changes
Outcome: Brexit finalised end of 2020
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International: all 2017 predictions
Forecast : All countries to be affected by serious major events impacting economies in 2020
Outcome: Covid
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China -30 January 2017
Forecast : Announcement at end of 2019. Major gestures internally January 2020, not positive. Situation more moderated later in year
Outcome: Coronavirus first announced 31 Dec 2019. China made huge lockdown early in 2020 leading to less local impact later in year
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USA (i) -23 January 2017
Forecast: November 2020 will see beginning of a change in mood
Outcome: Election – Trump replaced by Biden
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USA (ii) -27 October 2020
Forecast :Specific election prediction- No clear result on 3rd/4th November, Trump will think he has won, but Biden is inaugurated
Outcome: No clear result on 3rd/4th November, Trump thought he had won, Biden was inaugurated
SOME OF OUR ACCURATE CURRENCY FORECASTS
UK Sterling-11 June 2008
Forecast: Generally negative for 2008. Trading issues in September 2008
Outcome: Negative Sterling trend as expected with September 2008 seeing the collapse of Lehman and knock on impact on markets
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Japanese Yen-10 August 2008
Forecast:Stimulus would not be effective but that Yen would regain strength from Sept/Oct on but less so in December
Outcome: Excellent – right about almost everything– integrated with economy forecast
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Rupee-7 October 2013
Forecast: Changes to whole banking sector. Trade in the currency being more difficult… meaning that by December the RBOI must put in place some measures to moderate it
Outcome: Demonetarisation event of 8 Nov 2016
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US$-25 February 2013
Forecast: 2013 – detailed monthly movements including big movements in July
Outcome: Close to 100% accuracy of monthly movements including EM crisis in July creating big effects
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Chinese Renminbi-30 January 2017
Forecast: Will perform well against other currencies in late 2020
Outcome: Did perform well due to Chinas recovery from Covid economy despite the fact that theoretically there is a wide peg in action
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Euro-all years
Forecast: No prediction of demise of Euro at all in 2008-12 or in 2013-16. Some risks in 2017-20 period. But 2020 some threat to EU ideal
Outcome: No demise of Euro despite constant predictions in the media and financial circles. Covid country barriers in 2020 threatened ideal
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TIMES WE NAILED THE STOCK MARKET
FTSE-28 July 2008
Forecast:Forecast for 2010- early 2011 that big falls were unlikely
Outcome: Correct – although other people's expectations in 2008 were poor for coming years – possible deflation - QE took over and pumped up assets
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Nikkei-1 March 2013
Forecast: Monthly forecast for 2013 good included that market would see boost from monetary actions/flows
Outcome: Good overall and specifically the boost which was from Japan central bank stimulus
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Shanghai Composite- 1 March 2013
Forecast: Gave movements by month for 2015
Outcome: Almost all 2015 movements correct
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Sensex-7 October 2013
Forecast: Gave movements by month or quarter for 2014
Outcome : Forecast for monthly movements in 2014 proved excellent
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Dow- 28 July 2008
Forecast: Would lose long standing components due to financial issues in Sept-Nov 2009
Outcome: General Motors and Citibank fell out of index due to government intervention to prevent bankruptcies
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Dow (ii) - 23 January 2017
Forecast: Will reach new territory in November 2020
Outcome: Reached 30,000 for first time
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Nasdaq- 23 January 2017
Forecast :March to May 2018 possibilities of market glitches leading to trading suspensions
Outcome: 25th April 2018 NYSE suspended trading in the shares of five Nasdaq-listed companies due to a what it referred to as "a price scale code' issue. Possibly as a result of a tech upgrade.
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All the forecasts we show here were published on an independent blog site and can be found at fortuna2020/blogspot.com on the dates indicated